Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arab Contractors Stadium (Cairo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Egypt	Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1


	El Mokawloon El Arab		Tala`ea El-Gaish

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	2.48	2.88	Watch
	3.1	2.49	3.17
	2.96	2.5	3.01	Watch
	2.9	2.38	3
	2.84	2.79	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.83)	2.53 ↑ (2.48)	2.97 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Mokawloon El Arab
31.7%

Draw
36.9%

Tala`ea El-Gaish
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

37.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

37.9%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Mokawloon El Arab has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tala`ea El-Gaish has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mokawloon El Arab than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tala`ea El-Gaish than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El Gaish Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. El Mokawloon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. El Mokawloon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aboul Saoud M. (C) 26. Kahraba 4. Hussein H. 3. Hamed M. 24. Hesham N. 9. Salim M. 31. Adel M. 44. Hawash A. 25. Ojera J. 10. Naguib S. 12. El Wahsh O.	1. Radwan O. (G) 24. Awad K. 27. Alaa A. 4. Camacho M. 3. Tarek A. 10. Hany M. 8. Zola A. (C) 14. Hamdi A. 23. Keita A. 12. Mohareb I. 28. Ouro-Agoro I.
Substitutes
21. Abdellah I. 74. Abdelnasser M. 19. Al Kadi I. 22. Antar M. 47. Ekpenyong C. 18. Fawzi M. (G) 14. Gamal M. 23. Ochaya J. 28. Ouled Behi A.	17. Al Madadha G. 30. Atef M. 19. El Gabry H. 18. El Sayed E. (G) 9. Hatem F. 21. Khaled Ramadan 32. Mostafa Y. 6. Sotohi K. 25. Tarek A.
Coaches
Elsoudany S.	Mashhour G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Awad K. 🟨,
29', Salim M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Hamed M. ⚽, Kahraba (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Hawash A. 🟨,
53', Hany M. 🟨,
57', Salim M. ↓, Gamal M. ↑,
59', Hany M. ↓, Atef M. ↑,
59', Zola A. ↓, Tarek A. ↑,
67', Hawash A. ↓, Ouled Behi A. ↑,
67', Naguib S. ↓, Abdelnasser M. ↑,
67', Ouro-Agoro I. ↓, Hatem F. ↑,
77', Camacho M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Gamal M. (Penalty Awarded),
81', El Wahsh O. 🟨,
82', Keita A. ↓, Khaled Ramadan ↑,
82', Mohareb I. ↓, Al Madadha G. ↑,
86', Ojera J. ↓, Ekpenyong C. ↑,
86', El Wahsh O. ↓, Antar M. ↑,
90', Tarek A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 2.

In recent matches, El Mokawloon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

El-Gaish is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, El Mokawloon won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Mokawloon won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arab Contractors	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
9	El Gaish	5	2	1	2	5:5	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

El Mokawloon El Arab - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Tala`ea El-Gaish - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.76%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- El Mokawloon El Arab
Egyptian Premier League
13.04.26	National Bank of Egypt - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - Ismaily	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
30.03.26	El Mokawloon El Arab - ZED	1:1 ✺
26.03.26	ZED - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTTT
- Tala`ea El-Gaish
Egyptian Premier League
13.04.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Petrojet	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - National Bank of Egypt	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ismaily - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
29.03.26	Tala`ea El-Gaish - Wadi Degla	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Wadi Degla - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian League Cup
24.12.25	El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0
Egyptian Premier League
23.09.25	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0
16.06.24	El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El-Gaish	3:1
15.12.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2
22.05.23	El Mokawloon El Arab - Tala`ea El-Gaish	0:0
08.01.23	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:2
21.05.22	Tala`ea El-Gaish - El Mokawloon El Arab	1:0

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